Horse Racing Tipster Service

[adrianh]

So what makes your tips better than that a pure random selection?

If you share the risk on your tips then we can talk.

So, if you give me a tip and you tell me that you are 95% confident that your tip will beat all odds then you must be willing to put down 95% of the bet because we share the risk on your 95% confidence and my 5% belief in you confidence and of course we share the rewards 95% going to you and 5% going to me.. By the same token, if you are 50% confident then we share the risk and reward equally. So, if you are 10% certain of your tip and I still take the bet then I take 90% risk and reward. The proof is in the pudding. If you are willing to put your c*ck on a block then we can do business, otherwise it is merely a waste of energy.

You see, odds, bets, tips and confidences are all purely based on probability theory and statistics. Unless you are willing to put money on your own confidence level your information is as valuable as throwing a dart at a newspaper to pick a winner.

There are lies, damned lies and then there are statistics.....bullshit only baffles brains that do not understand that certainty is not a fixed value but rather expressed in terms of the likelihood of an event occurring!

[lifemiraclesa]

INFORMATION is regarded as the Holy Grail. Ask any punter what he would prefer. The form book or information – and he will invariably say information. Ask any professional punter and he will say the form book. Both have their merits and in a balanced attempt to back winners, both are essential tools of the trade. But whereas it is possible to bob along without information, it is difficult without reference to the form book.

I place the bets myself as well and that is a sure certainty. Even when I am 70% confident as I intend to work with such figure, as it's the average hit rate lately then I will make a four unit wager when a member will only be making a two unit wager because of his believe and confidence in me, then my reward will still be higher. I would suggest same level wagers as what I will be putting down on every selection taken and provided. When I am merely not confident enough I will not be making the bet and also not provide it. I am more than confident in the selections I provide.

There are bullshit service providers out in the field for sure and I have come across them as well, it serves me greater to wager the selections myself as well. It's all back to information and I am not referring to those in newspapers but the real tech of the industry which is far deeper than what people see in a newspaper.