Thanks for the welcome, Dave!
To answer your question: On the exchanged Rand value of the currency. Any change in conversion rate will only apply once the money goes back to where it came from - and is not interest.
It has not been touched upon during the post as far as I can recall, but even more inherent issues that the investor should have taken into consideration (i.e. should the person/entity be from outside our borders, by the way - it's not been confirmed, has it?), are the following.
Let's assume the worst: Our dear ol' Rand will DEvalue against this "other currency" by 10% per year. This simply boils down to the following: If more money is brought into SA 365 days after the first amount, that money will earn 10% more interest than the money brought in a year earlier (same interest rate applied against 10% more Rand) - and there's nothing the investor can do about earning more interest on the original first investment, for the post states that the repayments are at a fixed rate. Only when the money is taken out of the country will the devaluation become a gain for the investor.
Because we've come to assume that the "scheme" was originally built on low (even 0%) interest plus a high(ish) admin fee, any "potential loss in interest earnings" (to the entity bringing the money into SA) can only be calculated against the interest portion of the combined payment, as the admin fee is not affected by this change. This simply means that the (still only "potential"!) INCOME loss will be less than 10% for whoever earns the "payment".
Remember, this is purely academical to show "potential losses" due to the SA currency devaluating. The investor could have earned more interest had it waited for a year - and then another and another etc. The point is purely to ask a question: Is potential loss of income earned important, or is any gain in the underlying value of the investment enough to offset any such potential future losses?
The opposite applies if our Rand strengthens, obviously.
I am getting hugely philosophical about something that may have worked great had it not been for so many downsides. I'd also like to dream up such "schemes", but would not like to be found guilty of transgressing some Act or Law somewhere, and even more importantly, I'd like to make sure that the receivers of these benefits that I dream up are not simply swindled into something because I am good at weaving great tales, and the only one to benefit is me.
I will (still) not touch Rudco.
But I've learnt a lot! Thanks!
Now would those limits be applied against the funds valued in Rands or in the currency of source over the period?
It has not been touched upon during the post as far as I can recall, but even more inherent issues that the investor should have taken into consideration (i.e. should the person/entity be from outside our borders, by the way - it's not been confirmed, has it?), are the following.
Let's assume the worst: Our dear ol' Rand will DEvalue against this "other currency" by 10% per year. This simply boils down to the following: If more money is brought into SA 365 days after the first amount, that money will earn 10% more interest than the money brought in a year earlier (same interest rate applied against 10% more Rand) - and there's nothing the investor can do about earning more interest on the original first investment, for the post states that the repayments are at a fixed rate. Only when the money is taken out of the country will the devaluation become a gain for the investor.
Because we've come to assume that the "scheme" was originally built on low (even 0%) interest plus a high(ish) admin fee, any "potential loss in interest earnings" (to the entity bringing the money into SA) can only be calculated against the interest portion of the combined payment, as the admin fee is not affected by this change. This simply means that the (still only "potential"!) INCOME loss will be less than 10% for whoever earns the "payment".
Remember, this is purely academical to show "potential losses" due to the SA currency devaluating. The investor could have earned more interest had it waited for a year - and then another and another etc. The point is purely to ask a question: Is potential loss of income earned important, or is any gain in the underlying value of the investment enough to offset any such potential future losses?
The opposite applies if our Rand strengthens, obviously.
I am getting hugely philosophical about something that may have worked great had it not been for so many downsides. I'd also like to dream up such "schemes", but would not like to be found guilty of transgressing some Act or Law somewhere, and even more importantly, I'd like to make sure that the receivers of these benefits that I dream up are not simply swindled into something because I am good at weaving great tales, and the only one to benefit is me.
I will (still) not touch Rudco.
But I've learnt a lot! Thanks!
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