
Originally Posted by
Mark Atkinson
It depends entirely on how much funding you require to get to that level of revenue, weighed against how much of a stake you're willing to give away in the company.
Typically when you value a growing company you will project your earnings over an initial "growth" period, taking into account all cash flows, both negative and positive. You will present value this using a discount rate that's appropriate to the company's risk profile (I assume this would be a pretty high % considering it's a startup). In addition, you'd determine a level of 'maintainable earnings' after the initial growth period and present value these earnings based on a standard growth rate into infinity.
The inputs into this calculation would be under much scrutiny, particularly by people looking to invest. They want a low price, you want a high price. Your ability to negotiate and motivate will land you somewhere in the middle.
Other factors to consider would be how active the investors are going to be and what their required rate of return is. What are the repayment terms, when can they call it quits, etc.
The trickiest part with a start-up is probably estimating your cash flows into the future. If this is your first rodeo, expect to get it very wrong.
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